Sunday, January 2, 2011

“Al-Qaeda frighteningly predictable”

“Al-Qaeda frighteningly predictable”

Al-Qaeda frighteningly predictable

Posted: 02 Jan 2011 09:43 AM PST

Any direct intervention would risk even more conflict between the West and Muslims. Yet Egypt's ageing president, Hosni Mubarak, has lost so much credibility with his people after 30 years in office that he too is in a weak position.

The main opposition, the Muslim Brotherhood, foreswears violence. But the discontent with the regime, and already simmering feuds between muslims in some areas and the Coptic minority, are an easy tinderbox to strike.

And as al-Qaeda has repeatedly shown in the last two years, it takes little effort to inspire and instruct lone radicals elsewhere to apply the match.

While al-Qaeda's most prominent campaign is in the Pakistan-Afghanistan borders, Middle East operations are increasingly devoted to provoking a wider "clash of civilisations".

The aim, as described in online magazines, is to cause as much psychological damage to the West for as little cost as possible in manpower or finance.

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